A Free Voice


Respected Pollster says Media Polls Biased Against Republicans
October 23, 2008, 10:06 pm
Filed under: Democrats, McCain, Media Bias, Obama, Republicans, Sarah Palin | Tags: , ,

A respected Pollster, Kellyanne Conway, as reported by NewsMax (click here) who has a record of being extremely accurate in her predictions says that the media polls are biased against Republicans. — Well, that’s no surprise. Since the media has a left wing bias, it is only natural for their polls to reflect that bias as well,

Political polls conducted for most media organizations often are biased against Republicans, says Kellyanne Conway, one of the most respected GOP pollsters. As a result, Barack Obama’s lead over John McCain probably is exaggerated and is contributing unfairly to his momentum, says Conway, president and founder of the Polling Company.

Rather than slant the questions, pollsters distort the results by weighting tallies with more responses from people who are likely to vote for Democrats than is warranted, Conway tells Newsmax. For example, they wrongly assume that huge numbers of groups who favor Democrats will show up to vote.

Again, none of this is surprising. It is what I, as a Conservative Libertarian, have suspected about the anti-Republicanism and pro-Socialism in the media. — I have also posted in this blog not to worry about the polls, though sometimes they get to me as well.

As for the reasons the media distorts their polls,

To be sure, “Barack Obama has energized a critical mass of younger people and new voters to actually show up to the polls,” Conway says.

But in some cases, pollsters assume that those who cast votes will be as much as 40 percent Democrats, versus 25 percent Republicans.

“The country’s just not configured that way,” Conway says.

Another obvious reason for their poll distortions is to depress Conservative turnout and make us think it is no use to vote because it looks like we are going to lose. Well, let’s not give them what they want. Understand?

Conway draws an analogy to the way some news organizations endorse Obama, in effect, with their selection of stories and angles to pursue. In the same way, they endorse him through polls by oversampling respondents who are Democrats, Conway says.

“What is the incentive of the major media to have scientific, artfully constructed polling?” Conway says.

By creating the impression that McCain will lose, many media polls are creating a self-fulfilling prophecy, Conway says. Because of the attention their polls receive, they depress the turnout for McCain — not to mention cutting into his contributions, endorsements, and support.

“To me it’s a different kind of voter suppression, to constantly try to make people feel like the election is over before it’s even begun,” she says. “Before a single vote has been cast, they’re basically saying, about John McCain, he can’t win. What are the three most fatal words in politics? You can’t win.”

I repeat: Let’s not give the media what they want. To all conservatives who are planning to vote and to those who are feeling depressed: Go out and vote for McCain. If you don’t vote and if Obama wins then you will bear the blame of what Obama will do.

Looking back at polls over the years, “The errors in media polling rarely benefit a Republican,” Conway notes. “It wasn’t like anybody said, ‘Oh, Ronald Reagan will have a landslide in 1980.’ In fact you look back at the Dukakis numbers, the Perot numbers, there was always this presumption that the Republican was going to lose. Not just that the Democrat would win, but that the Republican was going to lose. There was a news report that concluded polls showed Kerry leading Bush 53 percent to 43 percent in 15 swing states.”

This is a great point. Again this is proof that we shoukld not stress to much over the left wing liberal polls from the Pro-Obama media. Since the media is pro-Obama, their polls should logically reflect that bias. I say not to worry about it.

Exit polls also tend to favor Democrats unfairly, Conway says.

“Remember the exit polls in the last election all favored John Kerry,” Conway says. “And I had to shoot off a quick memo to people saying that exit polls are more illustrative and anecdotal, more qualitative than quantitative and scientific in nature, because it’s a self-selected population of people who actually reveal to a total stranger how they just voted.”

That is different from revealing in a telephone poll who might get your vote.

I remember this. I also remember one poll that awarded Kerry 9-10 of the undecided voters, though I don’t remember what organization made it.

The emphasis on polls is dangerous, Conway says. “Polls have this insidious drip-by-drip daily impact,” she says. “The cumulative effect of those polls is to create public opinion as much as it is to reflect it. For that reason, some countries ban polls within 14 days of the election.”

Right now, she says, “News organizations are trying to show that Obama is so far in the lead that it helps him raise money, helps him get more endorsements, and it demoralizes conservatives.”

This is an important fact. Again, do not lean to much on the polls. Don’t let the media demoralize and discourage you.

Conway also give this advice telling us to ignore the polls,

If conservatives are upset about the lack of fairness and objective news media coverage, why do they look at these polls?” Conway says. “Why do they allow these polls to dictate how they feel about the presidential election before a single vote is cast?

Good advice, and I agree.

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