A Free Voice


McCain doing better in Ohio than depicted by the media?
October 23, 2008, 5:02 pm
Filed under: Democrats, McCain, Media Bias, Obama, Republicans, Sarah Palin | Tags: , ,

Have a read,

continue to hear from my source on the ground in Ohio, who is seeing results for McCain that are surprisingly good. He puts it, “in a key bellweather section of Ohio, McCain continues to show internals that are exceeding the national pollsters’ results. This portends a potentially larger McCain victory in Ohio than Bush had in 2004.”

As for those national pollsters, note that Fox News/Rasmussen puts McCain up 2, NBC/Mason-Dixon puts McCain up 1 and Rasmussen had it a tie last week. My guy on the ground thinks this might mean that the internal polling is a leading indicator, and he’s noting that if McCain does as well among the key demographics in neighboring Pennsylvania as he is in Ohio, then the Democrats ought to be sweating about that state.

(Link: National Review)

So there is evidence that McCain is doing better in these battleground states than the media have lead us to believe. Internals are showing what other pollsters do not.

That’s far from a given, of course; Pennsylvania is a bluer state than Ohio. I don’t know that McCain will win Pennsylvania, but it isn’t like he hasn’t been given enough material – “spread the wealth around”, “no coal plants”, Murtha alternately calling his constituents “racists” and “rednecks,” the bitter small-town clinger comment, etc.

After Murtha calling western Pennsylvania racist, I wouldn’t blame the voters there for being turned off of the Democrats. — As a matter of fact, it so turns out that Murtha, the man who made the statement is now having trouble maintaining his seat in congress. (Click here) — Oh, well, the moron deserves it,

Democratic Rep. John Murtha leads retired Army Lt. Col. William Russell by a little more than 4 percentage points, within the Susquehanna Poll’s 4.9-point margin of error. The poll of 400 likely voters was conducted for the Tribune-Review on Tuesday, amid uproar over Murtha’s statement that some of his constituents are racist…

I hope he loses for his stupid statement!

Besides, previously in this blog (click here) I mentioned that Democrats are nervous about Pennsylvania despite CNN pollsters claiming Obama has a 13 point lead there. — I argue, like the National Review article, that concerns like this can be due to internal polling that may show Obama’s lead as less than what has been depicted. — We’ll see what happens.

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