A Free Voice


The AP doesn’t like its own poll: Obama – 44% & McCain -43%
October 22, 2008, 7:28 pm
Filed under: Democrats, McCain, Media Bias, Obama, Republicans, Sarah Palin | Tags: ,

According to a new poll released by the AP today 44% of likely voters would vote for Obama and 43% would chose McCain. — This is yet more confirmation that the race has tightened and that Obama, in fact, has not opened his lead.

For the poll result, the AP starts making excuses to invalidate its own results:

Polls are snapshots of highly fluid campaigns. In this case, there is a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points; that means Obama could be ahead by as many as 8 points or down by as many as 6. There are many reasons why polls differ, including methods of estimating likely voters and the wording of questions.

(Link)

“Ah, McCain may be lower so our poll means nothing.” — Wow! Talk about denial. Also, they get a political analyst to give his spin on it:

“If they all agree, somebody would be doing something terribly wrong,” he [Charles Franklin] said of polls. But he also said that surveys generally fall within a few points of each other, adding, “When you get much beyond that, there’s something to explain.”

The polls are all within a few points of eachother? Yeah right! They are all over the place! If an Obama lead from anywhere between 1 to 14 points is “within a few points of eachother” then I guess a double digit lead is insignificant.

To its credit, the AP gives a good justification for the race tightening:

The race narrowed after the third debate as GOP-leaning voters drifted home to their party and McCain’s “Joe the plumber” analogy struck a chord.

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